Karabağ 3-1 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 17 Aug 2026

Karabağ
3 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Shamakhi
📅17/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2026/2027

Karabağ vs Shamakhi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
75%
1.34
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
9%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
45%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Karabağ v Shamakhi — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Karabağ The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi The Market 15%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.51 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.86
0.68 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.01
Great Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
388 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1 Yellow Cards 2

Karabağ vs Shamakhi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
11.04.2026 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
04.03.2026 Karabağ Karabağ 3-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERK
10.02.2026 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-2 HT 1-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
05.02.2026 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-1 HT 2-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERK
26.10.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
17.01.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 3-2 HT 2-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
REVIEW Karabağ vs Shamakhi
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Karabağ got the better of Shamakhi 3-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (60%) came home.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Karabağ and 1.00 for Shamakhi.

Karabağ vs Shamakhi Result & Final Score

Karabağ 3 - 1 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Karabağ vs Shamakhi Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 75%, draw 16%, Shamakhi 9%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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