CDS Tampico Madero 4-1 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 17 Nov 2025

📅17/11/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
63%
+3.6pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.9pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 20%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
2.62/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.45
+33% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +23%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
14.11.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
03.08.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
25.05.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
18.05.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
06.04.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
20.10.2024 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 3-2 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero cruised past Leones Negros Udeg 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CDS Tampico Madero as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CDS Tampico Madero had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CDS Tampico Madero and 1.00 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros Udeg?

CDS Tampico Madero 4-1 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 17/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split CDS Tampico Madero 66%, draw 18%, Leones Negros Udeg 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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