Avellino vs Cavese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avellino v Cavese — Team-Based Signals
Avellino vs Cavese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Avellino 2-1 Cavese — Actual Match Statistics
Avellino nicked a narrow win over Cavese 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Avellino had 51% of the ball to Cavese's 49%, shots finished 9-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Avellino and 0.83 for Cavese.
What was the final score of Avellino vs Cavese?
Avellino 2-1 Cavese in the Italy - Serie C on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avellino vs Cavese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Avellino 53%, draw 25%, Cavese 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.