Bologna 1-2 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 18 Jan 2026

Bologna
1 - 2 HT 0 - 2
Fiorentina
📅18/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Bologna vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.08
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.44
2-3
46%
1.8
4-5
23%
3.36
6+
6%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.29
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
14%
5.47
X/2
12%
6.67
X/X
17%
4.62
2/1
3%
26.0
2/2
16%
4.5
2/X
6%
12.6
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Bologna v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bologna The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY Fiorentina The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.60 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.32
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
Strong Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Bologna vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fiorentina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 1.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
409 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2025 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2 HT 0-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
18.05.2025 Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-2 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
15.12.2024 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
14.02.2024 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
09.01.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTK
12.11.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA

Bologna 1-2 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
1 - 2
AWAY Fiorentina
1.27 xG 1.36
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
452 Passes 285
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
39 Box Touches 20
42 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Bologna vs Fiorentina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fiorentina found just enough to beat Bologna 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2.

We leaned Bologna at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (56%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 61% to 39% in Bologna's favour, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.27 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Bologna against 1.17 for Fiorentina.

Bologna vs Fiorentina Result & Final Score

Bologna 1 - 2 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bologna vs Fiorentina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bologna 41%, draw 29%, Fiorentina 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bologna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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