Guadalajara vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Guadalajara
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Queretaro
MEK
Guadalajara 2-1 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara edged past Queretaro 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Guadalajara had 67% of the ball to Queretaro's 33%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.36 to 1.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guadalajara and 0.67 for Queretaro.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Queretaro?
Guadalajara 2-1 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 69%, draw 19%, Queretaro 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.