Cruz Azul vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Puebla
MEK
1-3
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
Cruz Azul 1-0 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Puebla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 73% of the ball to Puebla's 27%, shots finished 35-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cruz Azul and 0.83 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
Cruz Azul 1-0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 55%, draw 25%, Puebla 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.