Tijuana 1-1 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒06:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
8%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 31% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tijuana EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.69/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.48
+10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.9 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
320 Passes 382
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2025 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-1 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
11.04.2025 Tijuana Tijuana 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
20.07.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-1 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
18.02.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-3 HT 1-2 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
09.10.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
11.02.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tijuana
1-1
AWAY Atletico San Luis
0.91 xG 0.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
368 Passes 431
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tijuana vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana and Atletico San Luis shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tijuana at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tijuana had 46% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 54%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.91 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tijuana and 1.17 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Tijuana vs Atletico San Luis?

Tijuana 1-1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 49%, draw 27%, Atletico San Luis 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tijuana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tijuana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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