Pumas UNAM vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pumas UNAM v Leon — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pumas UNAM 1-1 Leon — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM and Leon finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Pumas UNAM at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Pumas UNAM had 56% of the ball to Leon's 44%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.85 to 1.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Pumas UNAM and 0.83 for Leon.
Pumas UNAM vs Leon Result & Final Score
Pumas UNAM 1 - 1 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pumas UNAM vs Leon Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 46%, draw 28%, Leon 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pumas UNAM) went the other way.