Pumas UNAM vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM v Leon — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
4-1
HT 2-1
Leon
MEK
Pumas UNAM 1-1 Leon — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM and Leon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Pumas UNAM at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Pumas UNAM had 56% of the ball to Leon's 44%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.85 to 1.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Pumas UNAM and 0.83 for Leon.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Leon?
Pumas UNAM 1-1 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Leon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 46%, draw 28%, Leon 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pumas UNAM), BTTS No went the other way.