Winterthur 1-5 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 18 Feb 2026

📅18/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
57%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.84
2-3 Goals
35%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.66
6+ Goals
15%
6.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
57%
Away Win
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 60%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -29%
1.05/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.48
+14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
14.1 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Gallen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.72 xG 1.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
289 Passes 407
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 5-0 HT 3-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
10.05.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-4 HT 1-2 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
01.03.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 4-0 HT 3-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
30.10.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
20.07.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
20.05.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 HT 0-2 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
1-5
AWAY St. Gallen
1.72 xG 2.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 26
5 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 10
190 Passes 181
63% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 52
18 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen cruised past Winterthur 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Gallen as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Winterthur had 52% of the ball to St. Gallen's 48%, shots finished 15-26, expected goals 1.72 to 2.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Winterthur and 1.83 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs St. Gallen?

Winterthur 1-5 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 18/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 21%, draw 22%, St. Gallen 57%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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