MC Alger 2-1 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
12%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
67%
+5.1pp
16%
Draw
21%
-5.7pp
12%
Away Win
12%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.9pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Alger EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.81/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.71
+23% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
448 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Alger
4W-2D-0L
AWAY USM Khenchela
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.12.2025 MC Alger MC Alger 2-1 HT 1-1 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYRK
30.10.2025 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
16.03.2025 MC Alger MC Alger 2-2 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
18.10.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
11.05.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-1 HT 1-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
30.03.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-2 HT 0-2 MC Alger MC Alger CZYRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Alger
2-1
AWAY USM Khenchela
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MC Alger vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger edged past USM Khenchela 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had MC Alger as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, MC Alger had 63% of the ball to USM Khenchela's 37%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Alger had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MC Alger and 0.83 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of MC Alger vs USM Khenchela?

MC Alger 2-1 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Alger vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 72%, draw 16%, USM Khenchela 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MC Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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