Glenavon FC 0-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.82
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
16%
4.71
X/2
10%
6.96
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.8
2/2
7%
5.14
2/X
8%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.23/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.08
-14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
14.03.2026 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
15.11.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 4-1 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
27.09.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
22.02.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
17.12.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
14.09.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC edged past Glenavon FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Glenavon FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.33 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Crusaders FC?

Glenavon FC 0-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 49%, draw 26%, Crusaders FC 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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