Ballymena United 1-2 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 30% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
47%
+4.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-13% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
0.99/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.54
-32% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Portadown FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
07.03.2026 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
13.12.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
19.08.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
26.04.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
22.02.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
01.11.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-3 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC squeezed past Ballymena United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ballymena United and 1.17 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Portadown FC?

Ballymena United 1-2 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 52%, draw 21%, Portadown FC 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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