Leopards SC 0-3 Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.6pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Police EU Bookmakers 31%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.24/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.75
+30% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leopards SC
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Police
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Police Police 0-0 HT 0-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
04.03.2025 Police Police 0-0 HT 0-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
01.12.2024 Leopards SC Leopards SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Police Police KEN
03.04.2022 Police Police 0-3 HT 0-2 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN2
20.03.2022 Leopards SC Leopards SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Police Police KEN2
POST-MATCH Leopards SC vs Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police swept aside Leopards SC 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Police made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Leopards SC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leopards SC and 0.20 for Police.

What was the final score of Leopards SC vs Police?

Leopards SC 0-3 Police in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leopards SC vs Police?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leopards SC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leopards SC 37%, draw 31%, Police 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Leopards SC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leopards SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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