Kariobangi Sharks vs TransMara Sugar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Kariobangi Sharks v TransMara Sugar — Team-Based Signals
Kariobangi Sharks vs TransMara Sugar Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Kariobangi Sharks 0-1 TransMara Sugar — Actual Match Statistics
TransMara Sugar shaded a tight game against Kariobangi Sharks 1-0 away from home.
A gentle 41% lean on Kariobangi Sharks didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, possession split 70% to 30% in Kariobangi Sharks's favour, shots finished 14-8.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, TransMara Sugar led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.00 a game for Kariobangi Sharks against 1.50 for TransMara Sugar.
Kariobangi Sharks vs TransMara Sugar Result & Final Score
Kariobangi Sharks 0 - 1 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Kariobangi Sharks vs TransMara Sugar Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 41%, draw 34%, TransMara Sugar 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) went the other way.