Kariobangi Sharks 0-1 TransMara Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.6pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.7pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.39/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.14
+24% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
0W-0D-2L
AWAY TransMara Sugar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.12.2025 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar 2-0 HT 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
14.12.2024 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar 1-0 HT 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
0-1
AWAY TransMara Sugar
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs TransMara Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransMara Sugar squeezed past Kariobangi Sharks 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 28%) promised a tight game; TransMara Sugar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kariobangi Sharks had 70% of the ball to TransMara Sugar's 30%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, TransMara Sugar led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kariobangi Sharks and 1.50 for TransMara Sugar.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs TransMara Sugar?

Kariobangi Sharks 0-1 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs TransMara Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 37%, draw 35%, TransMara Sugar 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
18 Apr 2026
14:00 Shabana vs Homeboyz Analysis →
14:00 Mathare United vs Bidco United Analysis →
15:00 Tusker vs Sofapaka Analysis →
15:00 Leopards SC vs Police Analysis →
16:00 KCB Nairobi vs Ulinzi Stars Analysis →