KCB Nairobi 2-3 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.29
No
45%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
40%
+14.9pp
45%
BTTS No
60%
-14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
1.35/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.12
+21% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KCB Nairobi
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.12.2025 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 1-2 HT 0-1 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN
15.03.2025 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 1-2 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN
29.09.2024 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN
26.02.2022 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN2
12.12.2021 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KCB Nairobi
2-3
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KCB Nairobi vs Ulinzi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulinzi Stars edged past KCB Nairobi 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Ulinzi Stars made the difference. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, KCB Nairobi had 50% of the ball to Ulinzi Stars's 50%, shots finished 18-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, KCB Nairobi had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for KCB Nairobi and 0.60 for Ulinzi Stars.

What was the final score of KCB Nairobi vs Ulinzi Stars?

KCB Nairobi 2-3 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KCB Nairobi vs Ulinzi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a KCB Nairobi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split KCB Nairobi 38%, draw 31%, Ulinzi Stars 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KCB Nairobi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KCB Nairobi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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