Shabana 1-0 Homeboyz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabana EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 38%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
0.58/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.15
-39% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabana
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Homeboyz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.12.2025 Homeboyz Homeboyz 2-2 HT 1-0 Shabana Shabana KEN
02.03.2025 Shabana Shabana 4-1 HT 1-0 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
01.12.2024 Homeboyz Homeboyz 2-0 HT 2-0 Shabana Shabana KEN
POST-MATCH Shabana vs Homeboyz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabana edged past Homeboyz 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Shabana found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shabana and 1.67 for Homeboyz.

What was the final score of Shabana vs Homeboyz?

Shabana 1-0 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabana vs Homeboyz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homeboyz win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Shabana 33%, draw 32%, Homeboyz 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Homeboyz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homeboyz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
18 Apr 2026
13:00 Kariobangi Sharks vs TransMara Sugar Analysis →
14:00 Mathare United vs Bidco United Analysis →
15:00 Tusker vs Sofapaka Analysis →
15:00 Leopards SC vs Police Analysis →
16:00 KCB Nairobi vs Ulinzi Stars Analysis →