Mathare United 3-0 Bidco United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
37%
2.77
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.5pp
37%
Draw
32%
+4.3pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.7pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mathare United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bidco United EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.02/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.65
+5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mathare United
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Bidco United
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.12.2025 Bidco United Bidco United 0-0 HT 0-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN
20.04.2025 Bidco United Bidco United 2-0 HT 2-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN
18.10.2024 Mathare United Mathare United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN
06.11.2021 Mathare United Mathare United 0-1 HT 0-1 Bidco United Bidco United KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mathare United
3-0
AWAY Bidco United
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Mathare United vs Bidco United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mathare United swept aside Bidco United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 37% / 29% — and on the day Mathare United made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

On the day, Mathare United had 50% of the ball to Bidco United's 50%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bidco United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Mathare United and 0.75 for Bidco United.

What was the final score of Mathare United vs Bidco United?

Mathare United 3-0 Bidco United in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Bidco United?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 34%, draw 37%, Bidco United 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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