Tusker 0-0 Sofapaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Apr 2026

Tusker
0-0 HT 0-0
Sofapaka
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Tusker vs Sofapaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.1pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tusker v Sofapaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tusker EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
1.29/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.01
-16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
333 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.9

Tusker vs Sofapaka Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tusker
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Sofapaka
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.12.2025 Sofapaka Sofapaka 0-2 HT 0-0 Tusker Tusker KEN
24.08.2024 Tusker Tusker 1-0 HT 0-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN
25.02.2022 Sofapaka Sofapaka 0-2 HT 0-0 Tusker Tusker KEN2
12.12.2021 Tusker Tusker 0-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN2
POST-MATCH Tusker vs Sofapaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker and Sofapaka played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Tusker at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tusker had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Tusker and 0.00 for Sofapaka.

What was the final score of Tusker vs Sofapaka?

Tusker 0-0 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tusker vs Sofapaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tusker 46%, draw 31%, Sofapaka 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tusker) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tusker) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
18 Apr 2026
13:00 Kariobangi Sharks vs TransMara Sugar Analysis →
14:00 Shabana vs Homeboyz Analysis →
14:00 Mathare United vs Bidco United Analysis →
15:00 Leopards SC vs Police Analysis →
16:00 KCB Nairobi vs Ulinzi Stars Analysis →