Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 18 May 2026

📅18/05/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.88
No
42%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.7pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.23/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.96
+1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 80%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.2 Crosses 22.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Carabobo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 1.31
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 Passes 267
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2026 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
19.03.2026 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 3-2 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
06.07.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 2-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
26.01.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
18.11.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-3 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
22.09.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0-2
AWAY Carabobo
0.38 xG 1.66
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
336 Passes 249
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 18
31 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo got the better of Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Carabobo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 57% of the ball to Carabobo's 43%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.38 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.67 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo?

Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 34%, draw 28%, Carabobo 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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