Lorient 1-0 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 33% vs market 29.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.37
-37% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nantes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.87 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
478 Passes 363
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.01.2026 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
23.11.2025 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
07.08.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient HAZ
24.02.2024 Lorient Lorient 0-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
23.09.2023 Nantes Nantes 5-3 HT 1-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
02.08.2023 Lorient Lorient 3-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
1-0
AWAY Nantes
2 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient squeezed past Nantes 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 2-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lorient and 1.67 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Nantes?

Lorient 1-0 Nantes in the Friendlies on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lorient 44%, draw 26%, Nantes 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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