South Shields 2-1 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
8.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 32% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.4pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.1pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Shields EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
2.31/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.52
+31% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
373 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Shields
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Hereford FC
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2025 South Shields South Shields 0-1 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
10.08.2024 Hereford FC Hereford FC 3-0 HT 1-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
30.01.2024 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-3 HT 0-2 South Shields South Shields İCON
07.10.2023 South Shields South Shields 0-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South Shields
2-1
AWAY Hereford FC
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH South Shields vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Shields edged past Hereford FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had South Shields as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, South Shields had 58% of the ball to Hereford FC's 42%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hereford FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for South Shields and 1.00 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of South Shields vs Hereford FC?

South Shields 2-1 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Shields vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Shields win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split South Shields 51%, draw 29%, Hereford FC 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Shields) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South Shields) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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