Bragança 0-1 Sporting Braga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
67%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+12.9pp
16%
Draw
8%
+8.2pp
67%
Away Win
88%
-21.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragança EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 94%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +76%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
261 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragança
0-1
AWAY Sporting Braga
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bragança vs Sporting Braga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga squeezed past Bragança 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Braga as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bragança had 26% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 74%, shots finished 6-16.

What was the final score of Bragança vs Sporting Braga?

Bragança 0-1 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Cup on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragança vs Sporting Braga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bragança 18%, draw 16%, Sporting Braga 67%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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