Uniao De Leiria vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uniao De Leiria v Alverca — Team-Based Signals
Uniao De Leiria vs Alverca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Uniao De Leiria
POR3
1-2
HT 0-2
Alverca
POR3
1-4
HT 0-3
Uniao De Leiria
POR
2-1
HT 2-0
Alverca
POR
Uniao De Leiria 2-2 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics
Uniao De Leiria and Alverca shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 39% of the ball to Alverca's 61%, shots finished 4-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 1.33 for Alverca.
What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Alverca?
Uniao De Leiria 2-2 Alverca in the Portugal - Cup on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Alverca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 40%, draw 23%, Alverca 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uniao De Leiria), Under 2.5 went the other way.