Sporting Covilha vs U. Nogueirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v U. Nogueirense — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha 1-0 U. Nogueirense — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha nicked a narrow win over U. Nogueirense 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Covilha as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 51% of the ball to U. Nogueirense's 49%, shots finished 13-9.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs U. Nogueirense?
Sporting Covilha 1-0 U. Nogueirense in the Portugal - Cup on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs U. Nogueirense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 69%, draw 14%, U. Nogueirense 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Covilha), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.