Torreense 1-1 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 291
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
24.08.2024 Torreense Torreense 3-0 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
09.02.2024 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-2 HT 1-1 Torreense Torreense POR2
03.09.2023 Torreense Torreense 3-1 HT 2-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
15.05.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 3-1 HT 0-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
07.01.2023 Torreense Torreense 1-1 HT 0-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
1-1
AWAY UD Oliveirense
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
20 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Torreense vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense and UD Oliveirense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Torreense at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Torreense had 57% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 43%, shots finished 25-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torreense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Torreense and 1.00 for UD Oliveirense.

What was the final score of Torreense vs UD Oliveirense?

Torreense 1-1 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - Cup on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Torreense 46%, draw 22%, UD Oliveirense 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torreense), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torreense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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