Rebordelo vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rebordelo v Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Rebordelo 1-3 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional saw off Rebordelo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Rebordelo had 35% of the ball to Nacional's 65%, shots finished 10-14.
What was the final score of Rebordelo vs Nacional?
Rebordelo 1-3 Nacional in the Portugal - Cup on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rebordelo vs Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Rebordelo 16%, draw 17%, Nacional 66%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.