Sao Joao Ver 0-3 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.13
No
45%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+10.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
55%
Away Win
67%
-11.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
43%
+12.4pp
45%
BTTS No
57%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
199 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0-3
AWAY Famalicao
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Famalicao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao swept aside Sao Joao Ver 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Famalicao as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 43% of the ball to Famalicao's 57%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Famalicao?

Sao Joao Ver 0-3 Famalicao in the Portugal - Cup on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 24%, draw 21%, Famalicao 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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