Celoricense 0-4 Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
12.23
Draw
12%
8.78
Away
68%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
48%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
5%
+15.0pp
12%
Draw
8%
+4.8pp
68%
Away Win
88%
-19.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celoricense EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto EU Bookmakers 94%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +15%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
246 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celoricense
0-4
AWAY Porto
29% Ball Possession 71%
1 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celoricense vs Porto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto swept aside Celoricense 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%) came in.

On the day, Celoricense had 29% of the ball to Porto's 71%, shots finished 1-11.

What was the final score of Celoricense vs Porto?

Celoricense 0-4 Porto in the Portugal - Cup on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celoricense vs Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Celoricense 20%, draw 12%, Porto 68%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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