Liechtenstein 1-3 San Marino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.67
No
70%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
12%
8.03
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.69
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.8
X/1
23%
3.63
X/2
5%
8.44
X/X
14%
3.33
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
13%
8.38
2/X
6%
19.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.2pp
30%
BTTS Yes
33%
-3.6pp
70%
BTTS No
67%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liechtenstein EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY San Marino EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liechtenstein
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Marino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.03 xG 1.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
370 Passes 244
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.09.2024 San Marino San Marino 1-0 HT 0-0 Liechtenstein AVUL
13.10.2020 Liechtenstein 0-0 HT 0-0 San Marino San Marino AVUL
08.09.2020 San Marino San Marino 0-2 HT 0-2 Liechtenstein AVUL
31.03.2015 Liechtenstein 1-0 HT 1-0 San Marino San Marino HAZ
09.02.2011 San Marino San Marino 0-1 HT 0-0 Liechtenstein HAZ
28.04.2004 San Marino San Marino 1-0 HT 1-0 Liechtenstein HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liechtenstein
1-3
AWAY San Marino
0.57 xG 2.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
322 Passes 227
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liechtenstein vs San Marino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Marino got the better of Liechtenstein 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Liechtenstein at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (70%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liechtenstein had 57% of the ball to San Marino's 43%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.57 to 2.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liechtenstein had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Liechtenstein and 0.33 for San Marino.

What was the final score of Liechtenstein vs San Marino?

Liechtenstein 1-3 San Marino in the UEFA Uluslar League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liechtenstein vs San Marino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liechtenstein win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Liechtenstein 49%, draw 28%, San Marino 22%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liechtenstein) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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