Avusturya 1-1 Bosna-Hersek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 18 Nov 2025

📅18/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
14%
7.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.61
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
19.05
X/1
21%
3.91
X/2
5%
16.2
X/X
9%
7.38
2/1 EV+ ✗
16%
21.4
2/2
6%
13.5
2/X
7%
22.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 16% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
69%
-5.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.8pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avusturya EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bosna-Hersek EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
3.18/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.97
+67% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +91%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
437 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
48.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
25.0 Crosses 18.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avusturya
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Bosna-Hersek
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.97 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
344 Passes 272
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2025 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek 1-2 HT 0-0 Avusturya Avusturya DKE
15.11.2018 Avusturya Avusturya 0-0 HT 0-0 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek AVUL
11.09.2018 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek 1-0 HT 0-0 Avusturya Avusturya AVUL
31.03.2015 Avusturya Avusturya 1-1 HT 1-0 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avusturya
1-1
AWAY Bosna-Hersek
1.19 xG 0.80
70% Ball Possession 30%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
551 Passes 196
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avusturya vs Bosna-Hersek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avusturya and Bosna-Hersek shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Avusturya at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Avusturya had 70% of the ball to Bosna-Hersek's 30%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.19 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Avusturya and 0.75 for Bosna-Hersek.

What was the final score of Avusturya vs Bosna-Hersek?

Avusturya 1-1 Bosna-Hersek in the World Cup Qualifiers on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avusturya vs Bosna-Hersek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avusturya win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Avusturya 64%, draw 22%, Bosna-Hersek 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Avusturya), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avusturya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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