FC Levadia 4-0 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.58/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.53
-18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia ESTK
24.09.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-3 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
17.09.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-3 HT 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
18.05.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
12.04.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
03.11.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-2 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
4-0
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia cruised past FC Flora Tallinn 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Levadia had 43% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 57%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Levadia and 1.83 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn?

FC Levadia 4-0 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 52%, draw 25%, FC Flora Tallinn 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ BTTS Yes
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