Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.34/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.91
-20% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 HT 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
14.09.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
28.05.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-2 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
09.03.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
05.03.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
06.10.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-0
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond edged past Nomme JK Kalju 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Paide Linnameeskond made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 37% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 63%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.67 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 31%, draw 29%, Nomme JK Kalju 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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