Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.7pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.54/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.57
-3% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
28.05.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-2 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
09.03.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
05.03.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
06.10.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
01.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-4 HT 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1-1
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju and Paide Linnameeskond shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Nomme JK Kalju at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 46% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 54%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 2.00 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 43%, draw 23%, Paide Linnameeskond 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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