Tallinna Kalev 2-1 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
53%
Away Win
53%
-0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
1.69/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.34
+37% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-1 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
10.05.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
05.04.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 4-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
19.10.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
09.08.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
03.07.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-2 HT 2-2 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
2-1
AWAY FC Kuressaare
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tallinna Kalev nicked a narrow win over FC Kuressaare 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Kuressaare at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 45% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 55%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 2.00 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs FC Kuressaare?

Tallinna Kalev 2-1 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Kuressaare win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 25%, draw 22%, FC Kuressaare 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Kuressaare) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Kuressaare) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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