Ulsan Hyundai 5-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.98
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.8
X/1
27%
3.89
X/2
4%
10.9
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.35
2/2
9%
9.41
2/X
7%
17.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.70/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.46
-2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
474 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.1 Crosses 12.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 1.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
430 Passes 300
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
18.10.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
02.07.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
28.05.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
02.05.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
28.08.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
5-1
AWAY Gwangju
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
366 Passes 393
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai cruised past Gwangju 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 48% of the ball to Gwangju's 52%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.00 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju?

Ulsan Hyundai 5-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 55%, draw 28%, Gwangju 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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