IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 22%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.65/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.50
-20% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
23.6 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.56 xG 1.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
392 Passes 314
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-3 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
20.07.2025 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-1 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
09.03.2025 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 3-0 HT 2-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
04.12.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRBK
20.10.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
15.04.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1-1
AWAY Mladost Lucani
2.23 xG 1.16
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
446 Passes 173
83% Pass Accuracy 62%
31 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd and Mladost Lucani couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was IMT Novi Beograd at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 66% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 34%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 2.23 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.17 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani?

IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 52%, draw 30%, Mladost Lucani 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5
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