Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Backa Topola v Napredak Krusevac — Team-Based Signals
Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Backa Topola 4-1 Napredak Krusevac — Actual Match Statistics
Backa Topola cruised past Napredak Krusevac 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Backa Topola had 52% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 48%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.85 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Backa Topola and 0.67 for Napredak Krusevac.
What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac?
Backa Topola 4-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac?
Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 73%, draw 15%, Napredak Krusevac 12%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.