Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 19 May 2026

📅19/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
42%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.2
1/2
6%
21.1
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
12%
8.59
X/2
17%
4.53
X/X
12%
5.53
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
18%
2.31
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-10.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 56%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.82/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.82
+22% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +107%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
18.0 Crosses 18.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.39 xG 2.04
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
225 Passes 511
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2026 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-2 HT 3-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
26.10.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-4 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
16.08.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-3 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
22.07.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNK
17.06.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
17.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-1
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.35 xG 1.46
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
198 Passes 593
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon and Beijing Guoan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Beijing Guoan at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 30% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 70%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.35 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.17 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 32%, draw 26%, Beijing Guoan 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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