Atletico San Luis 0-1 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 27% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.19/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.17
+8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
15.8 Crosses 18.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Monterrey
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.89 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
418 Passes 436
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
08.12.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 5-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
05.12.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
06.10.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
28.01.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
03.12.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
0-1
AWAY Monterrey
0.27 xG 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
261 Passes 409
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
6 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey nicked a narrow win over Atletico San Luis 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 43% of the ball to Monterrey's 57%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.27 to 1.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Monterrey's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico San Luis and 2.17 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Monterrey?

Atletico San Luis 0-1 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 30%, draw 27%, Monterrey 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Under 2.5
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