Necaxa vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Necaxa v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
Necaxa
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Queretaro
MEK
Necaxa 3-1 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa got the better of Queretaro 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Necaxa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Necaxa had 73% of the ball to Queretaro's 27%, shots finished 26-3, expected goals 2.58 to 0.25.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Necaxa and 0.67 for Queretaro.
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Queretaro?
Necaxa 3-1 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 52%, draw 27%, Queretaro 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Necaxa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.