Jalapa 1-0 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Jul 2026

📅19/07/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.51/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.54
-10% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2026 Jalapa Jalapa 3-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
26.04.2026 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
22.02.2026 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-0 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
16.11.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-1 HT 2-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
14.09.2025 Jalapa Jalapa 3-0 HT 3-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
22.09.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 0-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa nicked a narrow win over Walter Ferretti 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jalapa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jalapa and 0.83 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti?

Jalapa 1-0 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 50%, draw 23%, Walter Ferretti 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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