Matagalpa 0-3 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Jul 2026

📅19/07/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.0pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.07/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.64
+37% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.02.2026 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-1 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
19.01.2026 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
27.11.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
22.09.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-0 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
31.03.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 5-2 HT 3-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
08.11.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-3 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
FAQ Matagalpa vs Export Sebaco
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Export Sebaco ran out comfortable winners over Matagalpa 3-0 away from home in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was favoured at 61%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Matagalpa and 1.00 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Export Sebaco?

Matagalpa 0-3 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 42%, draw 27%, Export Sebaco 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Matagalpa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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