Chester 1-1 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
36%
1.69
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +23%
1.58/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.03
-3% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +44%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2025 Chester Chester 1-1 HT 1-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
26.10.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 4-0 HT 3-0 Chester Chester İCON
09.03.2024 Chester Chester 0-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
28.10.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
14.01.2023 Chester Chester 2-2 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
29.08.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-2 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
1-1
AWAY Curzon Ashton
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chester vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester and Curzon Ashton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Chester at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chester had 56% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 44%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chester and 1.33 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Chester vs Curzon Ashton?

Chester 1-1 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Chester 52%, draw 25%, Curzon Ashton 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
19 Aug 2025
00:00 Spennymoor Town vs Kings Lynn Town Analysis →
00:00 Kidderminster Harriers vs Oxford City Analysis →
00:00 Merthyr Town vs Marine Analysis →
21:45 Ebbsfleet United vs Chelmsford City Analysis →
21:45 Chippenham Town vs Weston-super-Mare Analysis →
21:45 Chesham United vs Horsham Analysis →