Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Spain - Primera Liga, 19 Sep 2026

📅19/09/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.39
Draw
32%
3.12
Away
30%
2.71
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 0.92
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
232 Passes 359
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-3 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
14.09.2025 Osasuna Osasuna 2-0 HT 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
19.01.2025 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
16.09.2024 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 3-1 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
20.04.2024 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-1 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
15.12.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
PREVIEW Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

This is one of the day's tightest calls on our numbers — no outcome separates itself.

Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 5 away league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Osasuna and 1.17 for Rayo Vallecano.

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Kick-off Time

Osasuna play Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/09/2026, kick-off 15:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano is a Osasuna win at about 38% probability, priced 2.39 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Osasuna 38%, draw 32%, Rayo Vallecano 30%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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