Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Spain - Primera Liga, 19 Sep 2026

📅19/09/2026 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.65
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
18%
4.32
Under/Over 2.5
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 0.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
367 Passes 268
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2026 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-4 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
13.09.2025 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
22.07.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao HAZ
11.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
15.12.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
16.03.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
PREVIEW Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The numbers set this up as Athletic Bilbao's game to lose in front of their own crowd.

Deportivo Alaves's recent away league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Athletic Bilbao against 0.83 for Deportivo Alaves.

Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves Kick-off Time

Athletic Bilbao play Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/09/2026, kick-off 17:15 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves is a Athletic Bilbao win at about 58% probability, priced 1.65 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Athletic Bilbao 58%, draw 24%, Deportivo Alaves 18%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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