Dungannon Swifts 1-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 19 Sep 2026

Dungannon Swifts
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Ballymena United
📅19/09/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2026/2027

Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.06
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.92
Over Pick
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.45
2-3
46%
1.79
4-5
23%
3.25
6+
6%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.97
1/2
2%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
16%
4.97
X/2
11%
6.86
X/X
15%
5.11
2/1 ✗
3%
24.5
2/2
16%
4.86
2/X
5%
14.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.5 — our 3% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Dungannon Swifts v Ballymena United — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Dungannon Swifts The Market 49%
Signal
AWAY Ballymena United The Market 33%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.81 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
1.34 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
Great Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
17.01.2026 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
06.12.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
27.09.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
08.03.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
14.12.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
24.08.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
REVIEW Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Dungannon Swifts and Ballymena United with a point apiece.

Our pre-match lean was Dungannon Swifts at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (56%) landed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 0.67 for Ballymena United.

Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United Result & Final Score

Dungannon Swifts 1 - 1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 19/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 46%, draw 25%, Ballymena United 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
19 Sep 2026
17:00 Bangor FC vs Portadown FC Analysis →
17:00 Cliftonville vs Glentoran FC Analysis →
17:00 Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC Analysis →
17:00 Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC Analysis →
20:00 Coleraine FC vs Limavady United Analysis →