Cerro vs CA Penarol Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 Sep 2026

📅19/09/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.44
Draw
25%
3.54
Away Pick
63%
1.59
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-0D-5L
AWAY CA Penarol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2026 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
22.03.2026 CA Penarol CA Penarol 3-1 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
25.10.2025 Cerro Cerro 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
28.06.2025 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
28.04.2025 CA Penarol CA Penarol 3-1 HT 2-0 Cerro Cerro URU
23.09.2024 Cerro Cerro 0-5 HT 0-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
PREVIEW Cerro vs CA Penarol
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The data tilts towards CA Penarol despite the venue, which says a lot about how the model rates the two squads.

One side has usually been blanked in Cerro's home league games — both scored in only 1 of the last 5, and CA Penarol's defence has been shut tight on the road — 4 clean sheets in their last 5 league games there.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cerro and 2.33 for CA Penarol.

Cerro vs CA Penarol Kick-off Time

Cerro play CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/09/2026, kick-off 21:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Cerro vs CA Penarol Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Cerro vs CA Penarol is an CA Penarol win at about 63% probability, priced 1.59 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Cerro 12%, draw 25%, CA Penarol 63%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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