Chelmsford City 1-2 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.15
Over
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.16
2-3
40%
1.86
4-5
25%
3.04
6+
12%
9.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough The Market 31%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +19%
1.54/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.57
+2% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Farnborough
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 1-1 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
05.08.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
07.04.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 3-2 HT 1-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
27.09.2022 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough squeezed past Chelmsford City 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chelmsford City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chelmsford City and 0.75 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Farnborough?

Chelmsford City 1-2 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 44%, draw 24%, Farnborough 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelmsford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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