Amarante 6-1 JD Lajense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.18
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
15%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
80%
-21.4pp
22%
Draw
14%
+8.2pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+13.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY JD Lajense EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
454 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
6-1
AWAY JD Lajense
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 3
14 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Amarante vs JD Lajense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante swept aside JD Lajense 6-1. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Amarante as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amarante had 62% of the ball to JD Lajense's 38%, shots finished 25-3.

What was the final score of Amarante vs JD Lajense?

Amarante 6-1 JD Lajense in the Portugal - Cup on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs JD Lajense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Amarante 58%, draw 22%, JD Lajense 19%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amarante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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