Dezembro 1-2 Sporting Braga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
63%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.53
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+12.3pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.8pp
63%
Away Win
79%
-16.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.8pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 84%
+84% / +84% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.33/0.33
+48% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +98%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
Crosses 17.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-2
AWAY Sporting Braga
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Sporting Braga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga squeezed past Dezembro 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Braga as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dezembro had 35% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 65%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Sporting Braga?

Dezembro 1-2 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Cup on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Sporting Braga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 18%, draw 19%, Sporting Braga 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✗ BTTS No
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